Thursday, October 4, 2012

Leah's Chicago Marathon Goals


"I had goals. They were evil goals, but they were goals."
Dr. Doofenshmirtz

A Goal: 3:34:59 or faster (BQ-10 2014)
B Goal: 3:38:03 or faster (PR)
C Goal: 3:39:59 or faster (BQ-5 2014)
D Goal: 3:44:59 or faster (BQ 2014)
E Goal: 3:59.59 or faster (breaking 4 hours for the 5th time)
F Goal: 4:07:44 or faster (course PR)
G Goal: Dropping out if I'm in as much Piriformis pain as I was from mile 10 - finish in 2011

Goal A should be realistic based on my marathon PR (3:38:04) and my past race performances.*

BUT.... you never know what will happen on race day!

So I'm trying to think about other scenarios. I believe I'll be satisfied as long as I get a BQ for 2014! :) And if I can't do that, I can try again at Three Bridges and/or Disney!

Race Time Predictor Chart | Women's Race Predictor | Jeff Galloway's Calculator | McMillan's calculator
3:28 - 3:31 potential based on 10K PR
3:30 - 3:32 - 3:33 based on 1/2 marathon PR

3:24 - 3:25 based on 10 miler PR

FYI: If I run the first half of Chicago any faster than 1:48:00, I will be asking for trouble! 

I'd like to stay between 1:48-1:52 for the first half. And run 1:46-1:51 for the 2nd half.
2012 Chicago Marathon
2011 Chicago Marathon
Race Day Temperatures
High: 52°F
Low: 41°F
High: 80°F
Low: 57°F
Race Start Temperature
42°F
59°F

SUPER COOL TOOL!

Marathon Time Conversion = Charlottesville Marathon in 3:38:04

Boston Marathon
Chicago Marathon
Walt Disney World Marathon
Comparable Finish Time

 3:26:23

 3:33:41

 3:36:54

Course Time Difference
-0:05:21
-0:05:25
-0:05:22
Weather Time Difference
-0:06:19
+0:01:03
+0:04:12
Total Finish Time Difference
-0:11:40
-0:04:22
-0:01:09
Compare Race Details to Charlottesville MarathonCompare Race Details to Charlottesville MarathonCompare Race Details to Charlottesville Marathon

Comparing last year's Chicago Marathon with my PR

Kilometerschicago '11cville PRMiles
Net 5K0:26:3224:43.23m
Net 10K0:52:4248:55.56m
Net 15K1:18:531:12:449m
Net 20K1:45:371:37:1712m
Net Half1:51:401:45:1813m
Net 25K2:13:562:01:4915m
Net 30K2:43:252:27:3018m
Net 35K3:16:352:53:1821m
Net 40K3:52:153:20:5324m
26.2 miles4:07:453:38:0426.2 miles

mile-by-mile spilts for top 4 marathons....

CvillePR!!!nat'l2nd fastest3bridges3rd fastestdisney4th fastest
10:08:198:19n/an/a0:09:189:180:08:598:591
20:16:198:01n/an/a0:18:459:280:17:488:502
30:24:438:24n/an/a0:27:549:090:26:298:423
40:32:478:05n/an/a0:36:559:010:34:598:314
50:40:357:48n/an/a0:46:169:220:43:438:445
60:48:558:21n/an/a0:54:578:410:52:198:376
70:56:497:54n/an/a1:03:408:441:00:478:287
81:04:347:45n/an/a1:12:419:011:09:258:388
91:12:448:11n/an/a1:21:579:171:18:018:379
101:21:038:19n/an/a1:31:049:071:26:378:3710
111:29:038:01n/an/a1:39:158:121:35:248:4711
121:37:178:15n/an/a1:47:158:011:44:148:5012
131:45:19(8:02)2:01:32(9:17)1:55:37(8:50)1:55:11(8:48)13
141:53:308:11n/an/a2:04:379:002:02:049:0114
152:01:498:20n/an/a2:13:589:222:10:498:4615
162:10:178:28n/an/a2:23:269:282:19:428:5316
172:18:568:40n/an/a2:32:088:432:28:459:0317
182:27:318:35n/an/a2:40:438:362:37:418:5718
192:36:168:46n/an/a2:49:238:402:46:519:1019
202:45:058:49n/an/a2:58:329:102:56:039:1220
212:53:188:14n/an/a3:08:069:343:05:279:2421
223:02:048:46n/an/a3:17:519:463:14:499:2322
233:10:598:55n/an/a3:27:039:133:24:169:2723
24n/a9:55n/an/a3:35:368:343:33:108:5424
25n/a9:14n/an/a3:44:328:563:42:289:1925
26n/a9:11n/an/a3:54:179:463:52:009:3226
FINAL3:38:04(8:19)3:54:47(8:58)3:55:04(8:58)3:56:07(9:01)FINAL
2nd half1:52:55
(+7min)
(8:37)
1:53:15
(-8min!)
(8:39)
negative split!
1:59:27
(+4min)
(9:07)
2:00:56
(+5min)
(9:14)

 

No comments: